Jan 16, 2019 compared to current population estimates and 2050 population projections, note the high number of african countries on this list five out of the top 10. This article lists current estimates of the world population in history. The population of africa then will be as large as the population of asia today, and the rate of this increase in the coming decades will also be very similar to the rate of population growth in asia over the last few decades asias population increased from 1. Our population is expected to grow to over 9 billion by 2050, yet the ability of our environment to provide space, food, and energy are limited. The united nations also prepares supplementary world population. How is the global population distributed across the world. There was a major climate change, and flooding, and this was followed by the rise of advanced civilisations. Jul 09, 2018 humans are the most populous large mammal on earth today, and probably in all of geological history. By 2060, this country will have the worlds largest population.
It is one of just two countries with a population of more than 1 billion, with india being the second. In english only, for now adolescent fertility rate births per 1,000 women ages 1519. This may be the case, but it does not mean that the population declined by half compared to the population in ad. Countries have already planned on population reduction. If we dare make the calculation, japans population will be about 500 people by the year 3000. What will the world population be in the year 3000. By the 2100 most of worlds population gains will be in just one continent africa, over half the worlds.
Some sources give these numbers rounded to the nearest million or the nearest thousand, while others give them without any rounding. China is the most populous country in the world with a population exceeding 1. The world s population has grown almost 40fold in the last two millennia, and more than quadrupled in the last century alone. The world enters the last phase of the demographic transition and this means we will not repeat the past. Excel or the letters xls indicate a document is in the microsoft excel spreadsheet format xls. Population estimates cannot be considered accurate to more than two decimal digits. Demographic statistics, 4 united nations statistical division. What will the population of the world be in the year 3000.
We show how the world population grew over the last several thousand years and we explain what has been driving this change. In terms of each countrys population growth, we can expect india to surpass china as the most populated country in the world by 2050. World population will be around 1525 billion in 2100 and. Analysis of these data reveals that, contrary to previous literature, the world population is unlikely to stop growing this century. My prediction is, that the borders will be abolished by 2200, and a child tax will be introduced, to restrict the population growth. Explore population growth from 1 ce to 2050, see how our numbers impact the environment, and learn about the key advances and events allowing our numbers to grow. According to world population prospects, the global population in 2050 will be around 9. For the time of christ, most demographers make an intelligent guess that the world population was between 100 and 300 million. In demographics, the world population is the total number of humans currently living, and was estimated to have reached 7. It took over 200,000 years of human history for the world s population to reach 1 billion, and only 200 years more to reach 7 billion. Change in world population over 50year periods, estimates and three scenarios.
While population growth rates are expected to decline in most countries in the world, african countries by 2100 may not experience much reduction in population growth at all. It is a list of countries in the world by population in the exact beginning of the year 2000. Apr 25, 2017 worldwide population throughout human history. Jun 17, 2019 the worlds population is expected to increase by 2 billion persons in the next 30 years, from 7. Aug 25, 2012 the year 3000 the earth is getting messy condition, untouched nature is not there anymore, green trees turn into tall buildings sparkling skyscrapers with glass coating such as diamond, the sun is. To view the file, you will need the adobe reader available free from adobe. The global population has quadrupled over the course of. Stanford university news service 650 7232558 optimum human population a third of present, scientists say. There are 500 years between those two points, where population growth had to be stable for this to make sense, which when compared to other countries in europe which had a huge growth in population between ad and 1500 ad. In the past, when the world population experienced a decline, tom vogl, a development economist at uc san diego, told me, it was because a.
Pdf or denotes a file in adobes portable document format. There is an 80% probability that world population, now 7. Of course, a lot of things can change in 1,000 years. If humans can avoid a global catastrophe, current thinking on population has world population peaking in the next 50 years or so, and then slowly decreasing. Countries in the world by population 2020 this list includes both countries and dependent territories. World population growth this article is focusing on the history of population growth up to the present. Lianos and pseiridis, 2016 the authors calculate the maximum gross world product gwp, the combined gross national product of all the countries in the world, the production of which would leave the natural capital of the earth and other species populations intact l1. Click on the name of the country or dependency for current estimates live population clock, historical data, and projected figures. Historical estimates of world population census bureau. The twoway the population growth is being driven by high birth rates in developing nations as well as higher life expectancy worldwide. For times after world war ii, demographic data of some accuracy becomes available for a significant number of countries, and population estimates are often given as grand totals of numbers typically given by country of widely diverging accuracies.
This world population day, humans number in the vicinity of 7. A smoothed estimate of population, population 2000 ce, population 3000 bce, population growth, world population explosion how many people can the earth sustain. The most complete set of estimates is provided by atlas of world population history 1978 and more recently by john carl nelson in historical atlas of the eight billion. First, the space given particular peoples and regions in books of world history should roughly mirror their populations. The earth will always be inhabited, but by just how many. Growing at a slower pace, world population is expected to. While world population growth in a sense transcends the narrative of human history, it has important implications both for the writing of history and prediction of its future course. Click on the name of the country or dependency for current estimates live population clock, historical data, and. Oct 11, 2011 most population experts think planet earth can support about 10 billion people, and that when our population reaches that number, it will start to decline. World human population estimates from 1800 to 2100, with estimated range of future population after 2020 based on high and low scenarios. Historical world population data johnstons archive.
By the year 3000 the world s population will have declined probably to about 5 billion because earth will not have the resources left to keep a larger population alive. The first map in the topleft corner shows the world population in 3000 bc. Population growth graph world population percentage by country in demographics, the world population is the total number of humans currently living, and was estimated to have reached 7. Apr 20, 2019 the world population between the years 1800 to 2100.
Jan 12, 2008 the most complete set of estimates is provided by atlas of world population history 1978 and more recently by john carl nelson in historical atlas of the eight billion. The world is adding another billion people about every 12 years. However, there is another fascinating side to this story and its. Yes, that is a million times more people than there are now. What is the optimal, sustainable population size of humans. We are not entirely ignorant of the world population between about 3000 bc and the time of christ. Data based on the latest united nations population division estimates. Ecological footprint to biocapacity ratio, 19602010, based on two sources. Nov 19, 2010 in 3000 there will be about 6000000 billion people on earth. Because the table contains data only for the 230 nations and territories at the start of 2000, there are no entries for national regions declared later in 2000 or subsequent years. Optimum human population a third of present, scientists say. Estimates of historical world population wikipedia. Worldwide population throughout human history worldatlas.
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